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Alabama’s PEEHIP Projected to Face $418M Deficit by FY27

Press Article: Alabama Education Health Insurance Program Faces Significant Shortfall

BIRMINGHAM, Ala. – The board managing Alabama’s health insurance program for education employees has revealed alarming future projections during a quarterly meeting. Chief Finance Officer Diane Scott warned of a potential fiscal shortfall of $360 million to $418 million in the 2027 fiscal year, with an even more concerning estimate of nearly $490 million for the following year.

Scott attributed these projections to rising claims costs and uncertainties in federal Medicare policy, forecasting a 10% annual increase in claims—double the expected rate of 4%. Contributing factors include the addition of around 550 new members, surging behavioral health expenses, and an uptick in high-cost claimants, particularly those exceeding $100,000 in annual claims. Hospitalization rates and the length of inpatient stays have also increased, with significant flu activity in early 2023 exacerbating costs.

Retirement Systems of Alabama CEO David Bronner emphasized the dangers these projections pose, labeling them "a danger to the state of Alabama" and to the health insurance program for teachers. The Public Education Employees Health Insurance Program (PEEHIP) currently serves about 350,000 teachers, retirees, and their dependents.

State Finance Director Bill Poole echoed these concerns, describing the instability of healthcare costs and the challenge of estimating future liabilities. He expressed skepticism about the Education Trust Fund’s ability to absorb the costs of these shortfalls, suggesting difficult decisions may lie ahead.

With a looming shortfall already anticipated for FY26, the board has struggled to address rising expenses linked to Medicare-eligible retirees. To mitigate these challenges, contributions per employee were raised significantly, and additional funds were transferred from the Retiree Trust Fund.

Despite these troubling projections, some board members remain hopeful that improved data may alter the outlook. Scott assured members that staff would explore various options for addressing these financial challenges in their upcoming legislative request in September.

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