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Price growth expected to persist in February and beyond


Forecasters expected a slight cooling of price growth in February, with analysts predicting a decrease in inflation measures. However, President Trump’s tariffs are posing a threat to this forecast, with his recent announcement of potential tariff increases on steel and aluminum. Although Trump has not implemented many tariffs yet, his threats alone are causing uncertainty in the economy, disrupting spending plans of consumers and businesses. Economists believe that achieving Trump’s goal of reducing prices while implementing tariffs is unlikely. The National Federation of Independent Businesses reported a significant increase in the number of owners raising prices in response to inflation. The Federal Reserve is expected to respond to ongoing changes in the economy with potentially lower interest rates, despite disagreements regarding the anchored expectations of inflation. Some analysts expect progress in slowing inflation, while others anticipate that residual seasonality effects and Chinese tariffs could impact inflation rates. Overall, there is uncertainty in the economy due to Trump’s tariffs and their potential impact on prices and inflation.

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