The prediction for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is the highest ever issued by Colorado State University, with researchers forecasting 11 hurricanes. This is driven by warmer Atlantic waters and La Niña conditions. The team also predicts a total of 23 named storms, with 5 reaching major hurricane strength.
The combination of warm Atlantic temperatures and reduced wind shear due to La Niña points to a very active hurricane season, with a 62% chance of a major hurricane hitting the entire US coastline. Coastal residents are advised to take precautions.
Historical data suggests similarities to very active hurricane seasons in the past, such as 1878, 1926, 1998, 2010, and 2020. The experts stress that the high number of predicted hurricanes is due to factors beyond just El Niño, with greenhouse gases playing a significant role.
While there is still uncertainty surrounding the exact impact of hurricanes, the research team will provide further updates in June, July, and August. Residents in hurricane-prone areas are urged to stay prepared and vigilant throughout the season.
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